November 23, 2006

Is Guiliani a man of the right?

Reading the National Review or Townhall should be a requirement for anyone seeking to understand the mentality of the Republican base. Just as reading Daily Kos is for understanding the Democrat base. Such blogs often form a thermometer for what is going on within the US parties which is useful for an outsider like myself who isn't from the US.

Hence the interest of this post by Rich Lowry about Rudy Guiliani's chances for the Presidency. Lowry argues that Guiliani isn't competing with McCain for the centrist Republicans but competing with Mitt Romney for the right- the rightwing voters he feels are neglecting Guiliani's social values for his leadership on 9/11 and his credentials as a 'tough guy' of Republicanism. Its an interesting analysis- it does make sense. One wonders whether the appeal to the right of the party though from Guiliani will survive the primaries when his positions on abortion et al are likely to be exposed- US politics ressembles much more of a marathon than a sprint for the Presidency and I wonder whether Guiliani might have got a good start from people who've seen him as a hero on TV, whereas once they know his other views, they'll back off. The same could equally go for his good numbers with the Democrats. However to be honest, all predictions this early are curious to say the least- who would have guessed in 1990 that George Bush snr would lose the White House to Bill Clinton!

NOTE In the comments a commenter has critiqued the idea that Townhall represents the base and that I should have termed what these guys the activists- there is some truth especially in the second of those observations and if I've made an error in the first I apologise to everyone, sorry early in the morning and lacking tea there may be errors.


Ahistoricality said...

Most of the Republicans I know would be horrified to learn that TownHall was considered "the base"; if Kos indeed represents the base of the Democratic party, then National Review might be a good parallel. Both, though, represent the activist core, not the voting loyalists. It's all strategy and tactics.... some of us, on both sides, prefer policy and discourse.

Gracchi said...

Fair enough and apologies- ok they are segments of support I think rather than the base- Hewitt and his like to represent some people and the activists.

I agree with you about policy that's like the UK where Labour and conservative Home are all tactics and name calling but other places focus on the policy- but waht I'm intrigued by often is the mindset- the prejudices that people work out of- rather than the nuanced thinkers- sorry to have got that wrong though- I often make mistakes early in the morning as people who read this blog often know- I think its to do with too few cups of tea (I am afterall British!) but thanks for the correction and the point about activism.